Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Deadline Day

This is easily one of my favorite days in the year for hockey.

It's truly the day where owners put up or shut up, and basically a last minute chance to tinker with your team to try and find the magic formula.

Calgary is looking for some help on the back-end, but could face cap issues, Edmonton is desperately looking for a top-line forward to help address scoring issues, although there really didn't seem to be much scoring issues last night.

I've said this many times before, and I will say it again. Roloson, as sharp as he has been the last 10 games, needs to figure out some way to hold onto his stick. Me and my friend tracked it last year, and it worked out to 2.8 times per game over a 10 game stretch. That is ridiculous. The may have lost the game because of it last night (I didn't see the play my mom doesn't have sportsnet.. boo).

Anyways, here's to hoping that Kevin Lowe pulls the trigger and gives his team a chance to make the playoffs this year. If rumors are true, and Kevin Lowe is making a move to bring in Olli Jokinen that would be potentially a great match for Hemsky and Horc. I'd like to see Smyth back in Oiler blue, but the reality is that for the money that Smitty makes we can probably get much more talent in the line-up. True it's a bonus that he loves playing for the Oilers, but at 7.25 million per annum, the Oil just dont have the cap space to squeeze this gritty left winger into the lineup. Maybe if Colorado takes Penner, but I don't give this move a large chance of happening.

I am pretty sure Cole will move today, I don't know where, or what the Oil can possibly get back in return, but I don't think that Lowe is very impressed with what he has done this year, so look for him to fall back to Carolina possibly.

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

The Difference Talent Makes

I had the great displeasure of watching last night's Columbus versus Edmonton tilt with a die hard Montreal fan. A short aside note here: I gave him 16-1 odds on montreal winning the cup this year, so if Montreal figures out a way of winning the cup, I owe him 320 bucks. I think I'm pretty safe in this bet though, we will have to see.

This particular fan said that there is no one on Montreal's top two lines that he would trade for Ales Hemsky, my first thought was that it is probably a good thing that a person this dumb isn't managing an NHL Hockey team.

My second thought was that this is unfortunate for the rest of the league, and fortunate for us. Ales Hemsky will probably always be kept the NHL's best kept secret. Unless the Oilers go on a Stanley cup run and make it really deep, or Ales Hemsky is traded he will probably always be hidden from the spotlight of the Eastern North America press monsters.

The one benefit to this lack of spotlight is that it tends to allow the team to sign the player for slightly less than market value when it comes time to extend/renew a RFA contract (A contract that other teams usually do not interfere with). This benefit is small though, because it is offset by the fact that if a player feels like he has been low-balled by a GM during his tenure with a club, this will make him more likely to want to leave that club. You have to believe that every GM in the league knows how good of a player Ales Hemsky is, and if Hemsky ever makes it to UFA status he will get some serious offers.

So just how good of a player is Ales Hemsky? Set aside the fact that we probably would have lost the last two games if it wasn't for him.

Where does Hemsky stack up in the list of Oiler greats? I did some comparisons to other Oiler greats (and some not-so-greats) to see where this slick winger fits in inside Oiler history.


































































































































































































Player Name



Games Played



Goals



GPG



Assists



APG



Points



PPG



Ales Hemsky



385



84



0.22



222



0.58



306



0.79



Wayne Gretzky



1487



894



0.60



1963



1.32



2857



1.92



Paul Coffey



1409



396



0.28



1135



0.81



1531



1.09



Mark Messier



1756



694



0.40



1193



0.68



1887



1.07



Ryan Smyth



889



300



0.34



337



0.38



637



0.72



Doug Weight



1168



272



0.23



729



0.62



1001



0.86



Jari Kurri



1251



601



0.48



797



0.64



1398



1.12



Dave Semenko



575



65



0.11



88



0.15



153



0.27



Mike Comrie



491



150



0.31



176



0.36



326



0.66



Miroslav Satan



995



350



0.35



365



0.37



715



0.72



Glenn Anderson



1129



498



0.44



601



0.53



1099



0.97



Chris Pronger



988



139



0.14



448



0.45



587



0.59



Ray Whitney



958



294



0.31



479



0.50



773



0.81



Esa Tikkanen



877



244



0.28



386



0.44



630



0.72



Craig Simpson



634



247



0.39



250



0.39



497



0.78



Jimmy Carson



626



275



0.44



286



0.46



561



0.90



Petr Klima



786



313



0.40



260



0.33



573



0.73



Martin Gelinas



1273



309



0.24



351



0.28



660



0.52





From a sheer numbers perspective, Hemsky's production falls somewhere between Craig Simpson and Doug Weight. Keep in mind it is a lot harder to score in the modern era than it was during Craig Simpson's era, and it's a little easier to score in the current era than it was in the Doug Weight era. (We don't have Patrick Roy and his Rubber Dingy Sized pads and Sumo Wrestler sized jersey to contend with)

Hemsky IS the Oilers right now. The one difference that the Oilers currently have against Columbus is that there are two or three more talented players on the Oilers than in Columbus. Columbus has Rick Nash, and Kristian Huselius, and then the talent pool steeply drops off.

Oilers have lots of depth in the talent pool, but most of it has been under-performing for most of the year.

In order of decending Talent: Hemsky, Visnovsky, Cole, Horcoff, Souray. This says nothing about work ethic mind you, and the talent we have waiting in the wings with Cogs, Nillson, Gagner, Gilbert, Brule could make your head spin if we could ever put everything together.

I think maybe by getting rid of Garon, maybe the Oilers have isolated their identity somewhat. Kevin Lowe has basically said that he is sick of waiting for Garon to get his act together, and we will go with the average but relatively consitant goal tending of Roloson to try and get through the season. The offence knows this now, and realizes that they are going to have to score 3 goals or more each game if they want to have a chance at winning the game.

If Hemsky can play the second half like he played the last two games the Oilers are going to the show.

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